Turbotodd

Ruminations on tech, the digital media, and some golf thrown in for good measure.

Mary Meeker’s Latest Internet Trends Report

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Mary Meeker’s latest Internet Trends report was released yesterday, and like so many others, I’m rough and tumbling through her slides as fast as my little can keep up.  

TechCrunch provided a quick snapshot summary that I found very helpful before embarking upon my deeper dive:

Internet adoption: As of 2018, half the world population, or about 3.6 billion people, will be on the internet. That’s thanks in large part to cheaper Android phones and Wifi becoming more available, though individual services will have a tougher time adding new users as the web hits saturation.
Mobile usage: While smartphone shipments are flat and internet user growth is slowing, U.S. adults are spending more time online thanks to mobile, clocking 5.9 hours per day in 2017 versus 5.6 hours in 2016.
Mobile ads: People are shifting their time to mobile faster than ad dollars are following, creating a $7 billion mobile ad opportunity, though platforms are increasingly responsible for providing safe content to host those ads.
Crypto: Interest in cryptocurrency is exploding as Coinbase’s user count has nearly quadrupled since January 2017
Voice: Voice technology is at an inflection point due to speech recognition hitting 95% accuracy and the sales explosion for Amazon Echo which went from over 10 million to over 30 million sold in total by the end of 2017.
Daily usage – Revenue gains for services like Facebook are tightly coupled with daily user growth, showing how profitable it is to become a regular habit.
Tech investment: We’re at an all-time high for public and private investment in technology, while the top six public R&D + capex spenders are all technology companies.
Ecommerce vs Brick & Mortar: Ecommerce growth quickens as now 13% of all retail purchases happen online and parcel shipments are rising swiftly, signaling big opportunities for new shopping apps.
Amazon: More people start product searches on Amazon than search engines now, but Jeff Bezos still relies on other surfaces like Facebook and YouTube to inspire people to want things.
Subscription services: They’re seeing massive adoption, with Netflix up 25%, The New York Times up 43%, and Spotify up 48% year-over-year in 2017. A free tier accelerates conversion rates.
Education: Employees seek retraining and education from YouTube and online courses to keep up with new job requirements and pay off skyrocketing student loan debt.
Freelancing: Employees crave scheduling and work-from-home flexibility, and internet discovery of freelance work led it to grow 3X faster than total workforce growth. The on-demand workforce grew 23% in 2017 driven by Uber, Airbnb, Etsy, Upwork, and Doordash.
Transportation: People are buying fewer cars, keeping them longer, and shifting transportation spend to rideshare, which saw rides double in 2017.
Enterprise: Consumerization of the enterprise through better interfaces is spurring growth for companies like Dropbox and Slack.
China: Alibaba is expanding beyond China with strong gross merchandise volume, though Amazon still rules in revenue.
Privacy: China has a big opportunity as users there are much more willing to trade their personal data for product benefits than U.S. users, and China is claiming more spots on the top 20 internet company list while making big investments in AI.
Immigration: It is critical to a strong economy, as 56% of top U.S. companies were founded by a first- or second-generation immigrant.

So to summarize:

Half the world’s population will be on the Internet by the end of the year, but smartphone shipments are slowing.  

Voice interfaces are a small but growing minority, while tech investment is at an all-time high.  

E-commerce is creaming brick and mortar, leaving traditional retailing pockmarks across the American retail landscape. 

Amazon is the king of the e-commerce jungle, and Google may ought to be worried considering that more people start product searches on Amazon now than on search engines. 

People are more willing to pay for subscriptions now, which is a good thing, because the privacy police around the world are questioning whether the trade-off for personal information is worth the cost to consumers (and elections) of “free” services like Facebook. 

Aautomobile manufacturers had better pivot and quick, because people are buying fewer cars, keeping them longer, and increasingly willing to use ridesharing services.

Which is good for all those millions of folks now focused on making their living via the so-called “gig” economy.

In short, less phones, more Amazon, no privacy, and lots and lots of low-paying freelance gigs.

Written by turbotodd

May 31, 2018 at 10:51 am

Posted in 2018

Tagged with , ,

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