IBM X-Force Mid-Year Risk and Trend Report
Now, don’t let me freak you out with this news or anything.
Especially just as the Pentagon confirmed with the New York Times “the most significant breach of U.S. military computers ever” back in 2008, in which a foreign intelligence agent used a flash drive to infect computers for Central Command, which was overseeing combat zones in Iraq and Afghanistan.
But today IBM just released the results of its X-Force 2010 Mid-Year Trend and Risk Report, which showed that security vulnerability disclosures are increasing dramatically, having reached record levels for the first half of 2010.
Specifically, 4,396 new vulnerability were documented by the X-Force R&D team in the first half of 2010, a 36% increase over the same time period last year.
Over half, 55 percent, of all these disclosed vulnerabilities had no vendor-supplied patch at the end of the period.
Cloud computing and virtualization were noted as key future security topics for enterprise organizations.
Before you IT administrators rush to find a tall building to jump off of, here’s the glass half full news: In the first-half of 2010, organizations were doing more to identify and disclose security vulnerabilities than ever before.
This in turn is having positive effects on the industry by driving more open collaboration to identify and eliminate vulnerabilities before cyber criminals can exploit them.
Tom Cross, the manager of the IBM X-Force team, provides some background on the methodology and findings of 1H report in this video:
Now, some details from on the trends being seen in the 1H10 report:
- Web application vulnerabilities continue to be the largest category of vulnerability disclosures. — Web application vulnerabilities have surpassed all other threats to account for 55 percent of all disclosures. While Web application vulnerabilities continue to climb at a steady rate, these figures may only represent the tip of the iceberg of total Web application vulnerabilities that exist, as they do not include custom-developed Web applications which can also introduce vulnerabilities.
- PDF exploits continue to soar as attackers trick users in new ways — X-Force started observing widespread use of PDF-based exploits during the first half of 2009. Since then, it has captured three of the top five slots for browser exploits used in the wild. The most significant jump associated with PDF attacks in 2010 occurred in April, when IBM Managed Security Services detected almost 37 percent more attack activity than the average for the first half of 2010. This spike coincided with a widespread spam campaign in which malicious PDF attachments were used to spread the Zeus and Pushdo botnets, some of the most insidious threats on the Internet today.
- Phishing activity declined significantly, but financial institutions remain the top target. Phishing volume has fluctuated wildly over the past few years. The first half of 2010 has only seen a fraction of the phishing attacks that were seen at the peak in 2009, a decline of almost 82 percent. Despite this drastic decline, financial institutions are still the number one phishing target, representing about 49 percent of all phishing emails, while credit cards, governmental organizations, online payment institutions and auctions represent the majority of other targets.
“Threat dynamics continue to multiply and evolve at a furious pace, making it more crucial than ever to look at unfolding trends so we can better prepare our clients for the future,” said Steve Robinson, general manager, IBM Security Solutions.
“This year’s X-Force report reveals that although threats are on the rise, the industry as a whole is getting much more vigilant about reporting vulnerabilities. This underscores the increased focus among our clients to continue looking for security solutions that help them better manage risk and ensure their IT infrastructure is secure by design.”
Looking ahead, the X-Force Research and Development team has identified some key trends to watch for in the future, including:
- Cloud Computing — As an emerging technology, security concerns remain a hurdle for organizations looking to adopt cloud computing. As organizations transition to the cloud, IBM recommends that they start by examining the security requirements of the workloads they intend to host in the cloud, rather than starting with an examination of different potential service providers. Gaining a good understanding of the needs and requirements first will help organizations take a more strategic approach to adopting cloud services.
- Virtualization — As organizations push workloads into virtual server infrastructures to take advantage of ever increasing CPU performance, questions have been raised about the wisdom of sharing workloads with different security requirements on the same physical hardware. X-Force’s vulnerability data shows that 35 percent of vulnerabilities impacting server class virtualization systems affect the hypervisor, which means that an attacker with control of one virtual system may be able to manipulate other systems on the same machine. This is a significant data point when architecting virtualization projects.
This report comes from IBM’s X-Force team, the premier security research organization within IBM that has catalogued, analyzed and researched more than 50,000 vulnerability disclosures since 1997.
The IBM X-Force Trend and Risk Report gathers facts from numerous intelligence sources, including its database of over 50,000 computer security vulnerabilities, millions of intrusion events monitored on tens of thousands of managed network sensors deployed on customer networks throughout the world, its global Web crawler and its international spam collectors.
This mid-year report is designed to help customers stay ahead of threats.
IBM Security Solutions include an extensive portfolio of hardware, software solutions, professional and managed services offerings covering the spectrum of IT and business security risks, including: people and identity, data and information, application and process, network, server and endpoint and physical infrastructure. IBM Security Solutions empowers clients to innovate and operate their businesses on highly secure infrastructure platforms.